but I mean globally by the mass market?
Earlier this year both larger local photo stores indicated film sales were up from the year before at that point. Granted, this was before the bottom fell out of pretty much everything. The overall comments they both made were that people were coming back to film for certain looks that they weren't getting with digital, and students/younger people were interested in experimenting with the analog medium.
So, while most industries are down overall, I think film is generally well positioned and it isn't the dying medium it's been made out to be in years past.
I think the "flat Earth" model created by online shopping will keep film alive, but simultaneously keep it from making a real comeback. Even here in Baton Rouge, LA (a city of over 200,000 with 2 large universities), your choices for local film and processing are pretty limited. I know Kadair's in Baton Rouge had same-day slide service as recently as a few years ago, but now all slide service is high-priced send-out unless I want to drive to ProColor in New Orleans (as nearly as I know, the only remaining E-6 lab in the state). Locally, only Tmax and Fuji 160 are available in 120 -- for 35mm, add Fuji 400H and Provia/Velvia. Everything else must be ordered. So I shop online, which is cheaper and offers me a better selection of films like Ilford, Kodak, and Efke. I buy E-6 mailers for $5 each from B&H and send my slides off to Fuji/Dwayne's, which is where they'd go anyways. The local stores have less incentive to stock and process these films and so the cycle continues.
And it's not like the shops here are total sell-outs either -- the owner of the local Ritz still shoots primarily with his K-1000. It's just that film is becoming a niche product, and won't sell enough outside of places like NYC/LA/Chicago to make it worthwhile to maintain large stocks and processing lines.
http://www.amateurphotographer.co.uk/news/kodak_film_is_far_from_dead_news_271594.html?aff=rss[/URL]
Note the quoted sales figure in the last bullet of the second article:
"Total sales at Kodak dropped by 5% in the third quarter of 2008, compared to the same three months last year. Overall sales from film capture and traditional photofinishing fell 18%. "
people are still buying brand new leica m7 systems and lenses. not poor people obviously =), but people who know quality, rather than quantity. saw a guy at samy's the other day get one with a 50 f2 summi and a 35mm . dropped somewhere in the neighborhood of 15K for the setup after no tax(sale) and 40 rolls of hp5 and 400nc. amazing really
Personally, I think that if Kodak put all the money they wasted developing new T-Max 400 and Ektar 100 into ADVERTISING and PROMOTING film in general, we would be much better off. Why on Earth does anyone need another 100 speed film that is only available in 35mm? We have at least seven other ones, and that is just what I can name off the top of my head (Kodak Portra VC and NC, Kodak Gold, Fuji S and C, Fuji Superia, Fuji Reala). Why one Earth does anyone need an improved T-Max when we have old T-Max that is practically no different? They need to spend their money lobbying schools to stick with film, not developing new crap that no one needs. If anything, these products are just more evidence that Kodak is devoted to nothing except driving themselves into the ground. It's like a drowning person in the middle of the ocean thousands of miles from anything trying to come up with ingenious ways to desalinate sea water.
... They need to spend their money lobbying schools to stick with film....
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